A method and system for adjusting satellite communication network based on weather nowcasting are provided herein. The method may include: receiving weather conditions within a specified geographic region from a plurality of sources; obtaining positions of at least one terrestrial terminal within said specified area and a position of a communication satellite being in communication with said at least one terrestrial terminal; generating nowcasting predictions of weather conditions in a plurality of locations along communication paths between said communication satellite and said at least one terrestrial terminals, based on the received weather conditions; calculating total signal attenuation integral along said communication paths, over time, based on said nowcasting predictions; and dynamically adjusting communication characteristics of the at least one terrestrial terminal according to the calculated total signal attenuation.
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1. A method comprising:
receiving weather data related to a specified geographic area from at least one source comprising a weather radar transmitting radar signals;
obtaining a position of at least one terminal located in said specified area and a position of a communication satellite being in communication via a communication link with said terminal;
generating nowcasting predictions of weather conditions measure along at least one estimated future communication path between said communication satellite and said terminal, based on the received weather data and the obtained positions, wherein the generating comprises:
defining the communication link as a three-dimensional vector passing through a plurality of cells along said at least one estimated future communication path;
determining the cells affected by weather conditions as affected cells, and
extracting the nowcasting predictions corresponding to the affected cells;
converting the nowcasting predictions of weather conditions measure to corresponding predicted levels of signal attenuation in dB per length unit for each of the affected cells,
wherein said converting is carried out using the following formula:
wherein γr represents the signal attenuation in dB per km for a specific rainfall rate r given in mm per hour and dBZ represents a meteorological measure of equivalent reflectivity Z of the radar signal reflected off a remote object, and wherein k, α, a, and b are coefficients associated with the weather radar;
calculating a predicted signal attenuation integral, based on said corresponding predicted levels of signal attenuation for each of the affected cells, each weighted by the corresponding cell path length, along said at least one estimated future communication path; and
dynamically adjusting at least one communication characteristic of a communication link along said at least one estimated future communication path, according to the corresponding calculated predicted signal attenuation integral.
15. A system comprising:
a weather collection module which receives weather data related to a specified geographic area from at least one source comprising a weather radar transmitting radar signals;
a position collection module which obtains a position of at least one terminal located in said specified area and a position of a communication satellite being in communication via a communication link with said terminal;
a nowcasting prediction module which generates nowcasting predictions of weather conditions measure along at least one estimated future communication path between said communication satellite and said terminal, based on the received weather data and the obtained positions, wherein the generating comprises:
defining the communication link as a three-dimensional vector passing through a plurality of cells along said at least one estimated future communication path;
determining the cells affected by weather conditions as affected cells, and
extracting the nowcasting predictions corresponding to the affected cells; and
a control center which converts the nowcasting predictions of weather conditions measure to corresponding predicted levels of signal attenuation in dB per length unit for each of the affected cells,
wherein said converting is carried out using the following formula:
wherein γr represents the signal attenuation in dB per km for a specific rainfall rate r given in mm per hour and dBZ represents a meteorological measure of equivalent reflectivity Z of the radar signal reflected off a remote object, and wherein k, α, a, and b are coefficients associated with the weather radar,
wherein the control center calculates a predicted signal attenuation integral, based on said corresponding predicted levels of signal attenuation for each of the affected cells, each weighted by the corresponding cell path length, along said at least one estimated future communication path, and
wherein the control center dynamically adjusts at least one communication characteristic of a communication link along said at least one communication path, according to the corresponding calculated predicted signal attenuation integral.
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This application is a National Phase Application of PCT International Application No. PCT/IL2015/050073, International Filing Date Jan. 22, 2015, entitled: “METHOD AND SYSTEM FOR DYNAMICALLY ADJUSTING COMMUNICATION CHARACTERISTICS OF SATELLITE COMMUNICATION LINKS BASED ON WEATHER NOWCASTING”, published on Jul. 30, 2015 as International Patent Application Publication No. WO 2015/111050, claiming priority of Israel Patent Application No. 230604, filed Jan. 22, 2014, which is hereby incorporated by reference in its entirety.
The present invention relates generally to the field of satellite communication and more particularly to adjusting communication of satellites based on nowcasting.
Prior to setting forth a short discussion of the related art, it may be helpful to set forth definitions of certain terms that will be used hereinafter.
The term “nowcasting” as used herein, is defined as the forecasting of the weather within the next six hours. In this time range it is possible to forecast smaller features such as individual showers and thunderstorms with reasonable accuracy, as well as other features too small to be resolved by a computer model. A human given the latest radar, satellite and observational data will be able to make a better analysis of the small scale features present and so will be able to make a more accurate forecast for the following few hours.
The term “Ka band” as used herein, covers the frequencies of 26.5-40 GHz. The Ka band is part of the K band of the microwave band of the electromagnetic spectrum. The 30/20 GHz band is used in communications satellites, i.e. uplink band is 27.5-31 GHz and downlink band is 17.7 GHz-22 GHz.
The term “adaptive coding and modulation” or ACM, as used herein, is defined in wireless communications to the matching of the coding and modulation to the conditions of the radio link (e g the path loss, the interference due to signals coming from other transmitters, the sensitivity of the receiver, the available transmitter power margin, and the like. For brevity, modulation and coding is referred herein as ModCod.
The term ACM margin, as used herein, is defined is the signal to noise ratio (SNR) difference, in dB between two different ModCod levels of a communication link. A communication link having ModCod level of 8, for example, may have an ACM margin of, for example, 4 dB with respect to a ModCod level of 12. The higher the ModCod level, the less robust the communication link is. Therefore, reducing the MoCod is a measure that may be taken in order to address signal attenuation along the communication link.
In satellite communication, one of the challenges is to determine in real-time, a degradation of the communication channel. This degradation is usually atmospheric in nature and is mainly due to weather-based attenuations. Attempting to deduce the accumulated attenuation along the communication channel via the satellite communication link parameters provide poor results due to the long delay between the attenuation and its detection or prediction based on the communication link parameters. The aforementioned delay including propagation, processing and measuring times, may accumulate to 2-4 seconds where the attenuation rate can be as fast as 1.5 dB per second.
Coping with changing weather conditions usually requires employing high power margins, of the order of 3-6 dB, in order to reduce the probability of links cut offs, even if ACM is employed, due to the fast and large changes in the fading and the slow response of the closed loop ACM mechanism. This required margin is too expensive in resources terms.
Currently available systems are limited to measuring attenuation in real time only. Future communication path attenuation is not addressed. Therefore it would be advantageous to be able to provide short term future prediction of communications path attenuation in order to timely adjust the communications characteristics of the communication link and thereby reducing the overall resources usage of the satellite network.
The present invention, in embodiments thereof, addresses the challenge of predicting and remedying attenuation along communication links in a satellite communication networks using short term weather prediction which is referred to as nowcasting. Using various sources, a nowcasting model is being generated which is applied, for computational efficiency reasons, only to the portions in the three dimensional sector or region through which the communication links of the satellite network are active. Then, using a weather-to-attenuation mapping, the nowcasting predictions are converted into attenuation predictions. Then, for each monitored communication link in the network, an attenuation integral is calculated along the communication link path (usually the atmospheric portion contributes most or all of the attenuation). Once an accumulated attenuation over a predefined threshold is detected, the communication parameters of that communication link are adjusted to overcome the attenuation.
These additional, and/or other aspects and/or advantages of the present invention are set forth in the detailed description which follows.
For a better understanding of the invention and in order to show how it may be implemented, references are made, purely by way of example, to the accompanying drawings in which like numerals designate corresponding elements or sections. In the accompanying drawings:
The drawings together with the following detailed description make the embodiments of the invention apparent to those skilled in the art.
With specific reference now to the drawings in detail, it is stressed that the particulars shown are for the purpose of example and solely for discussing the preferred embodiments of the present invention, and are presented in the cause of providing what is believed to be the most useful and readily understood description of the principles and conceptual aspects of the invention. In this regard, no attempt is made to show structural details of the invention in more detail than is necessary for a fundamental understanding of the invention. The description taken with the drawings makes apparent to those skilled in the art how the several forms of the invention may be embodied in practice.
Before explaining the embodiments of the invention in detail, it is to be understood that the invention is not limited in its application to the details of construction and the arrangement of the components set forth in the following descriptions or illustrated in the drawings. The invention is applicable to other embodiments and may be practiced or carried out in various ways. Also, it is to be understood that the phraseology and terminology employed herein is for the purpose of description and should not be regarded as limiting.
In one implementation, the system may include a weather collection module configured to receive weather data related to a specified geographic area from at least one source; position collection module configured to obtain a position of at least one terminal located in said specified area and a position of a communication satellite being in communication with said terminal; nowcasting prediction module configured to generate nowcasting predictions of weather conditions in a plurality of estimated future locations along communication paths between said communication satellite and said terminal, based on the received weather data and the obtained positions; a computer processor configured to calculate a predicted signal attenuation integral along said communication paths, based on said nowcasting predictions; a control center configured to dynamically adjust communication characteristics of communication links along respective communication paths, according to the calculated predicted signal attenuation integral.
Referring the nowcasting process, the satellites locations as well as the terminals locations are initialized 330. Then, in an iterative process, the terminals locations are checked for signal reception change 332 in view of the forecast 344. In case any change is found 334, terminal signal reception forecast is sent 336 to the main server which includes an adaptive coding and modulation (ACM) module 312 which first initializes all terminals (each associated with an ID number) with a preset ACM margin. Once data indicative of attenuation change beyond a predefined threshold in one or more communication links is received 314, the attenuation forecast for the terminal per ID is received 316. Then a new margin for each affected terminal is calculated based on worst attenuation, based on the corresponding nowcasting parameters 318. Then, new terminal (per ID) ACM margin is updated into the new value, as determined 320. This process is then ready to receive new updates regarding changes in the terminals (per ID) reception which again initialize in turn the process of determining a new ACM margin for at least some of the terminals.
According to some embodiments, once a specified ACM margin for a terminal that is likely to be affected by weather conditions has been allocated, this ACM margin is being maintained by continuously updating the ModCod by the ACM mechanism according to link quality measurements fed back. This way, the robustness of the affected terminal to fast variations is assured.
According to some embodiments of the present invention, a central control unit is aware, at every point of time, which of the terminals has been allocated with an ACM margin. Their number, location as well as other parameters such as Quality of Service (QoS) requirements and the service-level agreement (SLA) are being processed centrally and further adjustments to the margins can be made accordingly, in a centralized manner, taking into account the ACM margin in resource terms. E.g. large ACM margin consumes more satellite resources (bandwidth and power). A user with low priority may not be entitled for full compensation and will have to either suffer some disconnections due to insufficient margin or will have to reduce traffic rate to allow full compensation.
According to some embodiments of the present invention, the method may further include a step of measuring actual signal attenuation over a return channel and validating the nowcasting predictions and the attenuation integral model parameters with the measured signal attenuation, to yield calibrated attenuation integral predictions 460.
According to some embodiments of the present invention, the terminals, and the communication satellites alone or in combination may be dynamic over time. Their mobility is monitored so that the prediction may be carried out taking into account their future position.
According to some embodiments of the present invention, the communication satellite being in communication with said at least one terrestrial terminal communicates over a Ka band channel.
According to a similar embodiment, the central unit can be content aware in broadcasting to a plurality of terminals. The ACM margin can be allocated to some of the content with a higher priority in SLA or QoS terms. For example, broadcasting of standard definition can be associated with an extra ACM margin whereas the high definition part of the same content (namely the additional content required to compose high definition) can be allocated with a lower ACM margin, so as to ensure SLA and QoS requirements while reducing resources consumption
Following is a mathematical explanation of an exemplary precipitation-to-attenuation transformation that may be used in order to implement embodiments of the present invention. According to an exemplary implementation rain attenuation may be calculated from radar measurement of decibels relative to Z (dBZ). dBZ is a meteorological measure of equivalent reflectivity (Z) of a radar signal reflected off a remote object. The reference level for Z is 1 mm6 m−3, which is equal to 1 μm3. It is related to the number of drops per unit volume and the sixth power of drop diameter.
The dBZ values can be converted to rainfall rates in millimeters per hour using eq. (1) below:
The above equation is based on the most common form of Z-R relation for rain assuming a Marshal Palmer drop size distribution as in eq. (2) below:
Z=200R1.6 (2)
The coefficients in eqs. (1) and (2) can vary according to location and time. So the generic form of eq. (2) would be as in eq. (3) below:
Z=a Rb (3)
The ITU-R P.838-3 recommends that the specific attenuation γR(dB/km) is obtained from the rain rate R (mm/hr) using the power-law relationship of eq. (4) below:
γR=kRα (4)
Values for the coefficients k and α are determined by frequency dependent coefficients, the polarization angle and the elevation angle, as provided by the ITU-R P.838-3 recommendation. For f=20 GHz, circular polarization and any elevation, the above equation becomes represented in eq. (5) below:
γR=0.072R1.85 (5)
Substituting eq. (1) into eq. (5) an expression for the specific attenuation as a function of the reflectivity in terms of dBZ as in eq (6) below:
The generic form of eq. (6) will be the outcome of mathematical manipulation of eqs. (3) and (4) as in eq. (7) below:
Attenuation Integral
The above expression should be calculated for each cell of radar measurement and multiplied by the cell size in km in order to obtain the attenuation per cell. Denote the i-th cell path length and specific attenuation by li and γR
A=ΣiliγR
In case of equal cell path length, where the number of cells is N and the total path length is L (km), the following expression is obtained by eq. (9) below:
Substituting eq. (6) into eq. (9) the following Attenuation Integral is obtained as a function of the radar measurements of reflectivity dBZi as in eq. (10) below:
In the generic form the Attenuation Integral will be expressed by
According to further embodiment, following is a model calibration:
The parameters a and b in the form of the Z-R relation expressed in eq. (3) above are location and time dependent. This implies that the estimated Attenuation Integral will suffer from limited accuracy if we don't calibrate the model to reflect the actual conditions. We hereby propose a method for calibrating the model, namely estimating the parameters according to actual measured attenuation, in order to optimize the accuracy of the attenuation estimation.
The whole service territory will be partitioned into regions, preferably characterized by climate conditions similarity. Additionally, applying a Normalized Least Mean Square (NLMS) filter can be used to find the model parameters that minimize a cost function defined as the mean square error between the measured attenuation and the estimated attenuation. The measured attenuation is calculated based on SNR measurements performed by the terminals residing in this region and/or by the Hub.
As will be appreciated by one skilled in the art, aspects of the present invention may be embodied as a system, method or an apparatus. Accordingly, aspects of the present invention may take the form of an entirely hardware embodiment, an entirely software embodiment (including firmware, resident software, micro-code, etc.) or an embodiment combining software and hardware aspects that may all generally be referred to herein as a “circuit,” “module” or “system.”
The aforementioned flowchart and block diagrams illustrate the architecture, functionality, and operation of possible implementations of systems and methods according to various embodiments of the present invention. In this regard, each block in the flowchart or block diagrams may represent a module, segment, or portion of code, which comprises one or more executable instructions for implementing the specified logical function(s). It should also be noted that, in some alternative implementations, the functions noted in the block may occur out of the order noted in the figures. For example, two blocks shown in succession may, in fact, be executed substantially concurrently, or the blocks may sometimes be executed in the reverse order, depending upon the functionality involved. It will also be noted that each block of the block diagrams and/or flowchart illustration, and combinations of blocks in the block diagrams and/or flowchart illustration, can be implemented by special purpose hardware-based systems that perform the specified functions or acts, or combinations of special purpose hardware and computer instructions.
In the above description, an embodiment is an example or implementation of the inventions. The various appearances of “one embodiment,” “an embodiment” or “some embodiments” do not necessarily all refer to the same embodiments.
Although various features of the invention may be described in the context of a single embodiment, the features may also be provided separately or in any suitable combination. Conversely, although the invention may be described herein in the context of separate embodiments for clarity, the invention may also be implemented in a single embodiment.
Reference in the specification to “some embodiments”, “an embodiment”, “one embodiment” or “other embodiments” means that a particular feature, structure, or characteristic described in connection with the embodiments is included in at least some embodiments, but not necessarily all embodiments, of the inventions.
It is to be understood that the phraseology and terminology employed herein is not to be construed as limiting and are for descriptive purpose only.
The principles and uses of the teachings of the present invention may be better understood with reference to the accompanying description, figures and examples.
It is to be understood that the details set forth herein do not construe a limitation to an application of the invention.
Furthermore, it is to be understood that the invention can be carried out or practiced in various ways and that the invention can be implemented in embodiments other than the ones outlined in the description above.
It is to be understood that the terms “including”, “comprising”, “consisting” and grammatical variants thereof do not preclude the addition of one or more components, features, steps, or integers or groups thereof and that the terms are to be construed as specifying components, features, steps or integers.
If the specification or claims refer to “an additional” element, that does not preclude there being more than one of the additional element.
It is to be understood that where the claims or specification refer to “a” or “an” element, such reference is not be construed that there is only one of that element.
It is to be understood that where the specification states that a component, feature, structure, or characteristic “may”, “might”, “can” or “could” be included, that particular component, feature, structure, or characteristic is not required to be included.
Where applicable, although state diagrams, flow diagrams or both may be used to describe embodiments, the invention is not limited to those diagrams or to the corresponding descriptions. For example, flow need not move through each illustrated box or state, or in exactly the same order as illustrated and described.
Methods of the present invention may be implemented by performing or completing manually, automatically, or a combination thereof, selected steps or tasks.
The term “method” may refer to manners, means, techniques and procedures for accomplishing a given task including, but not limited to, those manners, means, techniques and procedures either known to, or readily developed from known manners, means, techniques and procedures by practitioners of the art to which the invention belongs.
The descriptions, examples, methods and materials presented in the claims and the specification are not to be construed as limiting but rather as illustrative only.
Meanings of technical and scientific terms used herein are to be commonly understood as by one of ordinary skill in the art to which the invention belongs, unless otherwise defined.
The present invention may be implemented in the testing or practice with methods and materials equivalent or similar to those described herein.
While the invention has been described with respect to a limited number of embodiments, these should not be construed as limitations on the scope of the invention, but rather as exemplifications of some of the preferred embodiments. Other possible variations, modifications, and applications are also within the scope of the invention.
Laufer, Shaul, Kreisler, Yaakov
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