A method generates optimized traffic movement plans. A plan monitor determines a first planning boundary for traffic based upon traffic conditions of a region. A plan generator employs the first planning boundary and repetitively generates first traffic movement plans for the traffic. The plan generator selects one of the first traffic movement plans as a first optimized traffic movement plan, and outputs the same for controlling traffic movement. The plan monitor determines current traffic conditions of the region for a planning window, and updates the first planning boundary to provide a second planning boundary for the traffic based upon the current traffic conditions. The plan generator employs the second planning boundary and repetitively generates second traffic movement plans for the traffic, selects one of the first and second traffic movement plans as a second optimized traffic movement plan, and outputs the same for controlling traffic movement.
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1. A method of generating optimized traffic movement plans for a region having a plurality of traffic and a plurality of traffic conditions, said method comprising:
determining a first planning boundary for said traffic based upon the traffic conditions of said region;
employing said first planning boundary and repetitively generating a first plurality of traffic movement plans for the traffic of said region;
selecting one of said first plurality of traffic movement plans as a first optimized traffic movement plan for execution;
outputting said first optimized traffic movement plan for controlling traffic movement in said region;
determining current traffic conditions of said region;
updating said first planning boundary to provide a second planning boundary for said traffic based upon said current traffic conditions;
employing said second planning boundary and repetitively generating a second plurality of traffic movement plans for the traffic of said region;
selecting one of said first and second plurality of traffic movement plans as a second optimized traffic movement plan for execution; and
outputting said second optimized traffic movement plan for controlling traffic movement in said region.
71. A dynamic optimizing traffic planning apparatus for a region having a plurality of traffic and a plurality of traffic conditions of said traffic, said apparatus comprising:
means for inputting information representing said traffic conditions; and
means for executing a plurality of routines, said routines comprising:
a plan monitor determining a first planning boundary for said traffic based upon the traffic conditions of said region, determining current traffic conditions of said region, and updating said first planning boundary to provide a second planning boundary for said traffic based upon said current traffic conditions,
a plan generator successively employing said first planning boundary and said second planning boundary and repetitively generating a first plurality of traffic movement plans and a second plurality of traffic movement plans, respectively, for the traffic of said region, selecting one of said first plurality of traffic movement plans as a first optimized traffic movement plan for execution, selecting one of said first and second plurality of traffic movement plans as a second optimized traffic movement plan for execution; and successively outputting said first and second optimized traffic movement plans, and
a plan executive successively converting said first and said second optimized traffic movement plans into a plurality of commands for controlling traffic movement in said region.
87. A traffic management system for a region having a plurality of traffic and a plurality of traffic conditions of said traffic, said system comprising:
means for inputting information representing said traffic conditions;
means for executing a plurality of routines, said routines comprising:
a plan monitor determining a first planning boundary for said traffic based upon the traffic conditions of said region, determining current traffic conditions of said region, and updating said first planning boundary to provide a second planning boundary for said traffic based upon said current traffic conditions,
a plan generator successively employing said first planning boundary and said second planning boundary and repetitively generating a first plurality of traffic movement plans and a second plurality of traffic movement plans, respectively, for the traffic of said region, selecting one of said first plurality of traffic movement plans as a first optimized traffic movement plan for execution, selecting one of said first and second plurality of traffic movement plans as a second optimized traffic movement plan for execution; and successively outputting said first and second optimized traffic movement plans, and
a plan executive successively converting said first and said second optimized traffic movement plans into a plurality of commands for controlling traffic movement in said region; and
means for executing said commands to control traffic movement in said region.
2. The method of
selecting said first optimized traffic movement plan as said second optimized traffic movement plan for execution.
3. The method of
selecting one of said first plurality of traffic movement plans as said second optimized traffic movement plan for execution.
4. The method of
selecting one of said second plurality of traffic movement plans as said second optimized traffic movement plan for execution.
5. The method of
employing a first plurality of traffic conditions for said first optimized traffic movement plan; and
comparing said current traffic conditions against the first plurality of traffic conditions for said first optimized traffic movement plan, and continuing to plan with the second planning boundary based substantially upon said first plurality of traffic movement plans to repetitively generate said second plurality of traffic movement plans for the traffic of said region.
6. The method of
employing a first plurality of traffic conditions for said first optimized traffic movement plan; and
comparing said current traffic conditions against the first plurality of traffic conditions for said first optimized traffic movement plan, and responsively re-planning with the second planning boundary to repetitively generate as said second plurality of traffic movement plans for the traffic of said region: (a) a third plurality of traffic movement plans based substantially upon some of said first plurality traffic movement plans for the traffic of said region, and (b) a fourth plurality of traffic movement plans independent of said first plurality traffic movement plans for the traffic of said region.
7. The method of
associating an objective function value with each of said first and second plurality of traffic movement plans; and
employing as said continuing to plan with the second planning boundary:
destroying at least one of said first plurality of traffic movement plans based upon said objective function values,
modifying at least one of said first plurality of traffic movement plans, in order to improve the objective function value thereof,
employing a plurality of said first plurality of traffic movement plans to generate one of said second plurality of traffic movement plans,
modifying at least one of said first plurality of traffic movement plans responsive to at least one perturbation associated with said current traffic conditions, and
generating at least one of said second plurality of traffic movement plans independent of said first plurality of traffic movement plans.
8. The method of
determining objective function values for said first and second plurality of traffic movement plans; and
selecting said one of said first and second plurality of traffic movement plans as said second optimized traffic movement plan based upon said objective function values.
9. The method of
employing a plurality of goals for each of said objective function values.
10. The method of
ranking said first and second plurality of traffic movement plans based upon the objective function values; and
selecting said second optimized traffic movement plan for execution based upon said ranking.
11. The method of
continuing said employing said first planning boundary and repetitively generating a first plurality of traffic movement plans for the traffic of said region for a predetermined time before said selecting one of said first plurality of traffic movement plans as a first optimized traffic movement plan for execution.
12. The method of
associating a first planning horizon with said first planning boundary and a later second planning horizon with said second planning boundary;
inputting schedule changes;
adjusting at least one of said first plurality of traffic movement plans to said second planning horizon and said schedule changes; and
generating at least one of said second plurality of traffic movement plans employing said adjusted at least one of said first plurality of traffic movement plans.
13. The method of
continuing said adjusting and said generating at least one of said second plurality of traffic movement plans for a predetermined time before said updating said first planning boundary.
14. The method of
providing a corresponding objective function value and a corresponding age for each of said first and second plurality of traffic movement plans; and
downgrading the corresponding objective function value as a function of the corresponding age for each of said first plurality of traffic movement plans.
15. The method of
deleting at least one of said first plurality of traffic movement plans.
16. The method of
determining objective function values for said first and second plurality of traffic movement plans; and
selecting said one of said first and second plurality of traffic movement plans as said second optimized traffic movement plan based upon said objective function values.
17. The method of
associating a first planning horizon with said first planning boundary and a later second planning horizon with said second planning boundary;
inputting schedule changes;
adjusting at least one of said first plurality of traffic movement plans to said second planning horizon and said schedule changes; and
generating at least one of said second plurality of traffic movement plans employing said adjusted at least one of said first plurality of traffic movement plans.
18. The method of
continuing said adjusting and said generating at least one of said second plurality of traffic movement plans for a predetermined time before updating said second planning boundary.
19. The method of
employing a plurality of currently executing reservations with said first optimized traffic movement plan with said first planning boundary;
employing a plurality of presently committed reservations with said first optimized traffic movement plan with said first planning boundary; and
employing a plurality of reservations that are expected to be committed during a subsequent planning cycle for said second plurality of traffic movement plans with said first planning boundary.
20. The method of
including at least some of said first plurality of traffic movement plans and said second plurality of traffic movement plans in a pool of traffic movement plans.
21. The method of
employing a plurality of generations of traffic movement plans in said pool including a first generation of said first plurality of traffic movement plans and a second generation of said second plurality of traffic movement plans.
22. The method of
employing about 50 of said first and second plurality of traffic movement plans in said pool.
23. The method of
redetermining current traffic conditions of said region;
updating said second planning boundary to provide a third planning boundary for said traffic based upon said redetermined current traffic conditions;
employing said third planning boundary and repetitively generating a third plurality of traffic movement plans in a third generation of said traffic movement plans;
providing a corresponding objective function value and a corresponding age for each of the traffic movement plans of said first, second and third generations;
downgrading the corresponding objective function value as a function of the corresponding age for each of said first and second plurality of traffic movement plans;
determining a best plan based upon the downgraded corresponding objective function value for each of said first and second plurality of traffic movement plans and the corresponding objective function value for each of the traffic movement plans of said third generation; and
comparing the corresponding objective function value of said second optimized movement plan to the objective function value of said best plan, in order to determine whether to replace said second optimized traffic movement plan with said best plan.
24. The method of
employing a planning cycle for each of said generations; and
maintaining said objective function values for a predetermined count of said planning cycles before employing said downgrading.
25. The method of
employing a planning window associated with said first and second plurality of traffic movement plans; and
discarding said movement plans after said planning window has passed.
26. The method of
employing one of said objective function values having a positive value and another one of said objective function values having a negative value; and
downgrading both of said positive and negative values.
27. The method of
employing one of said objective function values having a positive value or another one of said objective function values having a negative value; and
downgrading one of said positive and negative values.
28. The method of
employing a corresponding objective function value for each of the traffic movement plans in said pool;
ordering the traffic movement plans in said pool based upon the corresponding objective function values; and
selecting one of said traffic movement plans in said pool as said second optimized traffic movement plan for execution based upon said ordering.
29. The method of
determining the corresponding objective function value for a corresponding one of said traffic movement plans before adding said corresponding one of said traffic movement plans to said pool.
30. The method of
ordering said corresponding one of said traffic movement plans when adding said corresponding one of said traffic movement plans to said pool.
31. The method of
employing a corresponding age for each of the traffic movement plans in said pool;
downgrading the corresponding objective function value of the corresponding one of said traffic movement plans in said pool as a function of the corresponding age; and
re-ordering said corresponding one of said traffic movement plans in said pool responsive to said downgrading.
32. The method of
deleting some of said first plurality of traffic movement plans and some of said second plurality of traffic movement plans from said pool, in order to maintain a predetermined count of traffic movement plans in said pool.
33. The method of
employing a plurality of types of said traffic conditions of said region; and
employing checking for changes in at least one of said types of said traffic conditions as said comparing said current traffic conditions against the first plurality of traffic conditions for said first optimized traffic movement plan.
34. The method of
employing at least one of changes in a railroad network and train ordering changes as said changes in at least one of said types of said traffic conditions.
35. The method of
comparing said current traffic conditions against said first plurality of traffic conditions for said first optimized traffic movement plan and determining a re-planning score; and
employing said re-planning when said re-planning score exceeds a predetermined value.
36. The method of
accounting for train schedule changes and responsively determining said re-planning score including said train schedule changes; and
employing said re-planning when said re-planning score including said train schedule changes exceeds a predetermined value.
37. The method of
determining a relative number of changed trains from a count of train schedules changed divided by a count of trains in a planning horizon;
determining a relative number of new trains from a count of trains added divided by a sum of said count of trains in a planning horizon and said count of trains added; and
employing said relative number of changed trains and said relative number of new trains to determine said re-planning score.
38. The method of
determining a relative total duration of changed train schedules;
multiplying said relative number of changed trains by said relative total duration of changed train schedules;
determining a relative total duration of new train schedules;
multiplying said relative number of new trains by said relative total duration of new train schedules, in order to provide a product; and
employing said product to determine said re-planning score.
39. The method of
comparing said current traffic conditions against said first plurality of traffic conditions for said first optimized traffic movement plan and determining a re-planning score;
employing a plurality of types of said traffic conditions of said region; and
employing said re-planning when said re-planning score exceeds a predetermined value or in response to changes in at least one of said types of said traffic conditions.
40. The method of
determining a count as a function of said re-planning score; and
generating said count of said fourth plurality of traffic movement plans.
41. The method of
employing as said count a first count;
determining a second count of said first plurality of traffic movement plans;
determining a percentage from said function of said re-planning score; and
determining said first count as said percentage times said second count.
42. The method of
determining a count as a function of said re-planning score; and
re-generating said count of said third plurality of traffic movement plans.
43. The method of
employing as said count a first count;
determining a second count of said first plurality of traffic movement plans;
determining a percentage from said function of said re-planning score; and
determining said first count as said percentage times said second count.
44. The method of
determining a first count and a second count as functions of said re-planning score;
re-generating said first count of said third plurality of traffic movement plans; and
generating said second count of said fourth plurality of traffic movement plans.
45. The method of
employing a first function of said re-planning score for said first count;
employing a second function of said re-planning score for said second count; and
employing a sum of said first and second functions being equal to one.
46. The method of
employing a first function of said re-planning score for said first count;
employing a second function of said re-planning score for said second count; and
employing a sum of said first and second functions being less than 0.5 when no schedule changes are present.
47. The method of
providing a first objective function value for said first optimized traffic movement plan based upon said current traffic conditions;
determining a best plan from one of said first and second plurality of traffic movement plans;
providing a second objective function value for said best plan based upon said current traffic conditions; and
comparing said first objective function value to said second objective function value, in order to determine whether to replace said first optimized traffic movement plan with said best plan.
48. The method of
determining that said second objective function value is less than said first objective function value by a predetermined amount and responsively replacing said first optimized traffic movement plan with said best plan.
49. The method of
providing a corresponding objective function value and a corresponding age for each of said first and second plurality of traffic movement plans;
downgrading the corresponding objective function value as a function of the corresponding age for each of said first plurality of traffic movement plans;
determining said best plan based upon the downgraded corresponding objective function value for each of said first plurality of traffic movement plans and the corresponding objective function value for each of said second plurality of traffic movement plans; and
comparing said first objective function value to the objective function value of said best plan, in order to determine whether to replace said first optimized traffic movement plan with said best plan.
50. The method of
comparing said current traffic conditions against the first plurality of traffic conditions for said first optimized traffic movement plan and determining a re-planning score;
determining that said re-planning score has exceeded a predetermined value and responsively employing said current traffic conditions to generate said second plurality of traffic movement plans;
providing a first objective function value for said first optimized traffic movement plan based upon said current traffic conditions;
determining a best plan from one of said first and second plurality of traffic movement plans;
providing a second objective function value for said best plan based upon said current traffic conditions; and
comparing said first objective function value to said second objective function value, in order to determine whether to replace said first optimized traffic movement plan with said best plan.
51. The method of
employing a plurality of types of said traffic conditions of said region;
determining changes in at least one of said types of said traffic conditions of said region in said current traffic conditions and responsively employing said current traffic conditions to generate said second plurality of traffic movement plans;
providing a first objective function value for said first optimized traffic movement plan based upon said current traffic conditions;
determining a best plan from one of said first and second plurality of traffic movement plans;
providing a second objective function value for said best plan based upon said current traffic conditions; and
comparing said first objective function value to said second objective function value, in order to determine whether to replace said first optimized traffic movement plan with said best plan.
52. The method of
generating said first plurality of traffic movement plans for a plurality of trains in a railroad network in said region; and
dynamically optimizing movements of said trains across said railroad network under changes of the traffic conditions in said railroad network.
53. The method of
employing a plurality of track sections in said railroad network;
employing a plurality of reservations, with each of said reservations representing a planned usage of one of said track sections by one of said trains from an entry date/time to an exit date/time; and
combining said reservations to generate one of said first and second plurality of traffic movement plans.
54. The method of
employing said first planning boundary as a collection of said reservations;
determining a current position and a speed for each of said trains in said railroad network; and
determining said reservations from said first optimized traffic movement plan and from the current positions and speeds of said trains in said railroad network.
55. The method of
employing as some of said reservations a plurality of current reservations;
employing with one of said trains a first car and a last car;
employing said first car on one of said track sections;
determining a delay incurred before arriving at said one of said track sections by said first car and a delay extension incurred at said one of said track sections by said first car; and
employing said delay incurred and said delay extension incurred for each of said current reservations.
56. The method of
employing with said one of said trains a plurality of cars including a first car and a last car;
employing as said entry date/time a date/time of entry of the first car onto one of said track sections; and
employing as said exit date/time a date/time of exit of the last car from the last said one of said track sections.
57. The method of
determining a plurality of track blocks, track speed restrictions and train position gaps in said railroad network;
calculating a re-planning score based on said track blocks, said track speed restrictions and said train position gaps in said railroad network;
determining that said re-planning score has exceeded a predetermined value and responsively employing said current traffic conditions of railroad network to generate said second plurality of traffic movement plans;
providing a first objective function value for said first optimized traffic movement plan based upon said current traffic conditions of said railroad network;
determining a best plan from one of said first and second plurality of traffic movement plans;
providing a second objective function value for said best plan based upon said current traffic conditions of said railroad network; and
comparing said first objective function value to said second objective function value, in order to determine whether to replace said first optimized traffic movement plan with said best plan.
58. The method of
employing a plurality of train schedules for said trains;
determining at least one train schedule change for said train schedules;
responsive to said at least one train schedule change, employing said current traffic conditions of said railroad network to generate said second plurality of traffic movement plans;
providing a first objective function value for said first optimized traffic movement plan based upon said current traffic conditions of said railroad network;
determining a best plan from one of said first and second plurality of traffic movement plans;
providing a second objective function value for said best plan based upon said current traffic conditions of said railroad network; and
comparing said first objective function value to said second objective function value, in order to determine whether to replace said first optimized traffic movement plan with said best plan.
59. The method of
converting said first optimized traffic movement plan into a plurality of commands;
employing as said commands a plurality of route clears and control commands for said railroad network; and
outputting said route clears and said control commands for controlling real time traffic movement of said trains in said railroad network.
60. The method of
employing a computer-aided dispatching system to execute said route clears and said control commands.
61. The method of
receiving data from said computer-aided dispatching system regarding said trains in said railroad network; and
employing said data to generate said first plurality of traffic movement plans for said trains in said railroad network.
62. The method of
periodically generating said second plurality of traffic movement plans for the trains of said railroad network;
providing a first objective function value for said first optimized traffic movement plan based upon said current traffic conditions of said railroad network;
determining a best plan from one of said first and second plurality of traffic movement plans;
providing a second objective function value for said best plan based upon said current traffic conditions of said railroad network; and
comparing said first objective function value to said second objective function value, in order to determine whether to replace said first optimized traffic movement plan with said best plan.
63. The method of
employing at least one objective selected from the group comprising on-time performance, best time and minimizing overall delay to determine said first and second objective function values.
64. The method of
employing a plurality of types of said traffic conditions; and
employing a weighting factor for each of said types in said re-planning score.
65. The method of
employing as said types a first type for a plurality of track blocks, a second type for a plurality of track speed restrictions, and a third type for a plurality of train position gaps; and
employing a plurality of sums associated with said first, second and third types.
66. The method of
employing a zero speed associated with said track speed restrictions; and
equating the sum associated with said first type with the sum associated with said second type.
67. The method of
displaying a representation of said first optimized traffic movement plan.
68. The method of
displaying a train graph including a time-distance representation of said first optimized traffic movement plan, in order to display a plurality of planned movements of trains in a railroad network.
69. The method of
employing a railroad network in said region;
including a plurality of track blocks, track speed restrictions and train position gaps in said railroad network; and
determining said re-planning score as a function of said track blocks, track speed restrictions and train position gaps in said railroad network.
70. The method of
determining changes in train schedules and responsively generating said second plurality of traffic movement plans.
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This application claims the benefit commonly assigned U.S. Provisional Patent Application Ser. No. 60/435,114, filed Dec. 20, 2002, entitled “Dynamic Optimizing Traffic Planner Method and System”.
1. Field of the Invention
This invention relates generally to a method for traffic planning and, more particularly, to a method for generating and dynamically modifying optimized traffic movement plans. The invention also relates to a dynamic optimizing traffic planning system, such as a railroad or commuter rail dynamic optimizing traffic planning system.
2. Background Information
A transportation infrastructure consists of a plurality of physical pathways (e.g., without limitation, roads; rails; canals) for vehicles (e.g., without limitation, trucks; trains; ships or boats) within a particular geographic region. Traffic planning is the process of determining, for a particular transportation infrastructure and over a finite period of time, a plurality of routes that a corresponding plurality of vehicles are to follow (i.e., one route per vehicle), and where those vehicles are planned to be located along their respective routes at specific times. Together, the plural routes constitute a movement plan.
Although traffic planning has traditionally been carried out by humans, the traffic planning process can also be performed by automated traffic planners, or simply traffic planners, that generate movement plans given transportation infrastructure data, data about the individual vehicles to be planned, vehicle schedules, physical and operational constraints, and other data pertinent to the movement of traffic. In the case of train traffic, for example, such traffic planners employ rail infrastructure data (e.g., tracks; signals; switches), data about the individual trains to be planned, train schedules, physical and operational constraints, and other data pertinent to the movement of trains.
In order to execute movement plans generated by a traffic planner, those movement plans are converted into control commands, which are employed to control the states of field devices, which determine how the vehicles are allowed to move. In the case of trains, the control commands change the aspects of signal lights, which indicate how trains should move forward (e.g., continue at speed; reduce speed; stop), and the positions of switches (i.e., normal or reverse), which determine the specific tracks the trains will run on. In dark (unsignaled) territory, forward movement of trains is specified in terms of mileposts (i.e., a train is given the authority to move from its current location to a particular milepost along its planned route), landmarks or geographic locations. Sending the control commands to the field is done by an automated traffic control system, or simply control system, to which the traffic planner is interfaced. Control systems are employed by railroads to control the movements of trains on their individual properties or track infrastructures. Variously known as Computer-Aided Dispatching (CAD) systems, Operations Control Systems (OCS), Network Management Centers (NMC) and Central Traffic Control (CTC) systems, such systems automate the process of controlling the movements of trains traveling across a track infrastructure, whether it involves traditional fixed block control or moving block control assisted by a positive train control system. In dark territory, controlling the movements of trains is effected through voice communication between a human operator monitoring the control system and the locomotive engineer. Control systems act as an interface between the traffic planner and equipment in the field that receives and carries out the control commands. The interface between the control system and the field devices can either be through control lines that communicate with electronic controllers at the wayside that in turn connect directly to the field devices, or, in dark territory, through voice communication with a human, who manually performs the state-changing actions (e.g., usually switch throws).
A traffic planner both sends and receives information to and from the control system. The traffic planner sends control commands and receives information about the actual states of signals and switches, speed limit changes and train positions in the form of messages that the traffic planner is able to read. A movement plan is translated into a plurality of route clears, switch position changes and other control commands, which are sent to the control system for execution. The control system, in turn, sends those commands to the field in field-device-readable formats. The traffic planner sends control commands to the control system in a timely manner, in order that they coincide with actual changes as they are predicted to occur in the field. That is, in order to control the movements of trains in real time, the commands have to be sent to the field in such a way that they conform to the current positions of the trains. For example, signals should be cleared (i.e., turned green) ahead of a train in such a way that it is able to maintain its speed, but not so far ahead that they interfere with the planned movement of another train moving in the opposite direction, which was to traverse the same track before the train for which the signals were cleared.
Some traffic planners employ the information received from the control system (i.e., field updates) to modify the currently executing movement plan, in order to account for changes in the field that occurred since the time the currently executing movement plan was generated, which changes were not expected to occur. That is, the primary reason, though not the only reason, to modify the currently executing movement plan is if changes are happening in the field that are not in the plan. The planned state of the field needs to conform as closely as possible to the actual state of the field, in order that whatever the plan says should be done can be carried out (i.e., the configuration of trains enables the control commands to work as expected). If the trains and devices in the field act according to their planned or expected behaviors as set forth in or otherwise implied by the currently executing movement plan, then no field updates will have to be incorporated.
Human operators employ control systems to monitor the movements of trains using computer interfaces, which schematically display such movements in near-real time. Two types of such interfaces are common. The first interface is a track diagram, which displays tracks in a not-to-scale, non-geographical manner, in order to indicate the locations of trains on the tracks, their authorities to move (lined routes), track switches and their positions, signal lamps and their colors, as well as other miscellaneous devices, such as hot box detectors for detecting hot wheel bearings, and landmarks, such as bridges. The key feature of track diagrams is the display of what is happening in the field in near-real time. Track diagrams indicate the current locations of trains and where they have been given the authority to move.
The second interface, as employed by human operators to monitor the operations of a railroad, is a “string-line,” which is a time-distance graph of where the trains are planned to be and when. Typically, the vertical axis of this graph shows locations (usually indicated by station names) and the horizontal axis shows time. The movements of trains are displayed as diagonal lines that are slanted downward or upward depending on the direction of movement. Thus, string-lines for two trains moving in opposite directions over the same rail line during the same time period would form an X-like structure. Although time-distance graphs are generally not drawn to scale, the slopes of the string-lines roughly indicate the speeds of the respective trains. For instance, during the time a train is stopped, its string-line would be horizontal. The faster a train moves, the greater the absolute value of the slope of its string-line. The key feature of string-line graphs is that they depict how trains are planned to move in the future. A train operator is able to see where two trains are planned to meet or when a train is planned to arrive at a particular location.
Traffic planning can be classified as being non-optimizing or optimizing. Non-optimizing traffic planning involves the determination of routes irrespective of performance criteria (e.g., on-time arrival at destinations; relatively higher average speeds).
Several railroads are known to employ a non-optimizing traffic planner, which does not have the capacity to optimize the movements of trains across a rail network. It is constrained to work according to a fixed set of rules. Specifically, it plans trains according to a fixed set of train priorities, in order that movement of a highest priority train is planned first, movement of a next highest priority train is planned second, and so forth down to the lowest priority train. Whenever there is a conflict (e.g., two trains attempting to use the same piece of track at the same time), the non-optimizing traffic planner resolves the conflict in accordance with the priorities of the corresponding trains (i.e., the highest priority train moves across the track first). An example of such a non-optimizing traffic planner is the AutoRouter (or ART) marketed by Union Switch & Signal, Inc. of Pittsburgh, Pa.
In contrast, optimizing traffic planning employs optimization objectives to guide the planning process, in order that the resulting movement plan best satisfies one or more performance criteria. Optimizing traffic planning is of interest to freight railroads because the demand for service (e.g., hauling goods) is increasing and is predicted to continue in this manner for the foreseeable future. Since it is relatively very expensive to lay new rail, which is one way to increase service capabilities, the railroads are looking for ways to utilize more of the capacity of their existing rail infrastructure. Traffic planning that optimizes the movements of trains is able to increase the density of traffic, thereby utilizing more existing rail infrastructure capacity, while also maintaining a high level of on-time performance, which is very important to customers of the railroads.
Traffic planning, whether optimizing or non-optimizing, can also be partitioned into static and dynamic planning. Static planning is the process of generating an initial movement plan from rail infrastructure data, data about the individual trains to be planned, train schedules, physical and operational constraints, and other data pertinent to the movement of trains. The initial movement plan specifies the movements of all of the trains that will be running within a particular geographic region over a finite period of time. Once generated, the initial movement plan can be executed, as discussed above. Static planning implies that no modifications to the initial plan are ever made.
Dynamic planning consists of replacing the currently executing movement plan with a new movement plan as a result of changes that occurred in the field, which were unexpected and, therefore, not accounted for by the currently executing movement plan. That is, events did not take place in the field as planned (e.g., trains may have moved more slowly than planned; a speed limit may have been imposed on a particular segment of track; a device failure may have occurred). Only when the field is changing according to plan (or very close to plan) is dynamic planning not required. Since there are always changes occurring in the field that were not expected or planned for, traffic planning on the railroads, if it is to be effective, must be dynamic.
Known dynamic planning can be classified into two distinct types depending on the way in which the new movement plan is generated. The first type consists of generating a completely new plan, independently of the currently executing plan, and then replacing the currently executing plan with the new plan. No modifications are made to the currently executing plan in order to produce the new plan. Neither is any data from the currently executing movement plan used in the generation of the new movement plan.
The second type of dynamic planning involves modifications to the currently executing movement plan. The modifications are highly localized changes, such as moving a single meet point (i.e., the point where one train must wait for another to pass) or adjusting individual train speeds in order that an already planned meet point is preserved. These modifications typically affect only one or two trains and one or two infrastructure locations, leaving the rest of the movement plan unchanged.
In the case of optimizing traffic planning, the first type of dynamic planning produces a new, optimized movement plan independently of the currently executing plan. This dynamic planning method can be costly from the standpoint of time, since generating an initial plan can take considerably more time than modifying the currently executing plan, depending on the optimization methods employed.
The second type of dynamic planning employs local optimization, which may adversely affect the globally optimized movement plan; that is, the degree of optimization of the overall plan as measured against the objectives is likely to be less. In most cases, local optimization does not improve the overall global optimization of a plan.
U.S. Pat. Nos. 5,794,172 and 6,154,735 disclose various optimization methods for generating movement plans for a plurality of trains. The methods claimed in U.S. Pat. No. 5,794,172 are simulated annealing for coarse-grained optimization (to generate a higher-level schedule for train movement) and branch and bound for more fine-grained optimization (to generate a more detailed movement plan from the schedule). U.S. Pat. No. 6,154,735 claims methods of constraint propagation and focused simulated annealing for generating optimized movement plans. U.S. Pat. No. 5,794,172 also claims a system for which adjustments are made to trains not adhering to the predetermined movement plan (the currently executing plan). Such adjustments are then communicated to those trains. The same patent also claims a system for which the resolution of conflicts (two trains attempting to access the same track at the same time), when they occur, is by means of branch and bound techniques. A system incorporating adjustments to individual trains or the resolution of specific conflicts would be an implementation of the second type of dynamic planning.
U.S. Pat. No. 5,623,413 claims branch and bound and procedure-based inference methods for generating optimized train movement plans, and methods for re-scheduling by rule relaxation or by constraint relaxation, which involve rule-based inference and constraint-based inference, respectively. A system implementing these re-scheduling methods would be considered an example of the second type of dynamic planning.
U.S. Pat. No. 5,177,684 discloses an optimizing train movement planner that generates movement plans from predetermined train schedules (i.e., scheduled departure and arrival times of trains are fixed). A depth-first search algorithm bounded by delay costs (costs incurred by delaying one vehicle so that another can pass) adjusts train meet points that are infeasible (i.e. meet points that occur on a single track) to locations where those meets can take place. This train movement plan optimization method determines whether proposed schedules may be met by the trains without the addition of any substantial costs due to delays of the trains at the proposed meet points.
U.S. Pat. Nos. 6,304,801 and 6,546,371 disclose a gradient search method for optimizing the movements of trains over a rail corridor in particular. The gradient search method is guided by a cost function that enables an optimum schedule to be determined for departing trains by moving each meet point to a siding and evaluating the cost incurred in doing so. Individual train schedules can also be adjusted by changing train speeds and/or train departure times (i.e., the times at which trains enter the corridor).
U.S. Pat. No. 6,459,964 claims a system for coarse-grain scheduling of trains and a method for fine-grain movement plan generation. U.S. Pat. No. 6,459,964 also claims a movement plan repair method that is an example of the second type of dynamic planning described above. The system monitors the progress of trains against the fine-grain movement plan, identifying conflicts between trains in the use of track. It then determines available meet point options for resolving overlapping track usage by trains and selects the one with the least impact on the overall movement plan (local optimization). There is no consideration of any conflicts that may result from the implementation of the selected option. This repairs problems when they arise, independent of the effects those repairs (i.e., new meet points) might have on causing train conflicts further out in time.
There is room for improvement in methods for traffic planning and in traffic planning systems.
These needs and others are met by the present invention, which dynamically optimizes the movements, for example, of trains across a railroad network in a dynamically changing environment. For example, computer software generates a plurality of train movement plans, modifies those plans to account for unexpected changes to expected railroad train operations, and selects an optimized train movement plan. This software-based method and system thus re-plans the movements of trains in a dynamic environment, such as a dynamically changing railroad network.
A third type of dynamic planning is disclosed, which, like the second type of dynamic planning, involves modifications to the currently executing plan, but which differs from the second type in that each change is allowed to affect the rest of the movement plan. That is, the rest of the movement plan is adjusted to accommodate each change.
In the case of optimizing traffic planning, the third type of dynamic planning incorporates the changes made to the currently executing movement plan by globally optimizing the currently executing movement plan with those changes included. This also differs from the first type of dynamic planning in that plan data from the currently executing movement plan is used in the generation of the new movement plan.
As one aspect of the invention, a method of generating optimized traffic movement plans for a region having a plurality of traffic and a plurality of traffic conditions comprises: determining a first planning boundary for the traffic based upon the traffic conditions of the region; employing the first planning boundary and repetitively generating a first plurality of traffic movement plans for the traffic of the region; selecting one of the first plurality of traffic movement plans as a first optimized traffic movement plan for execution; outputting the first optimized traffic movement plan for controlling traffic movement in the region; determining current traffic conditions of the region; updating the first planning boundary to provide a second planning boundary for the traffic based upon the current traffic conditions; employing the second planning boundary and repetitively generating a second plurality of traffic movement plans for the traffic of the region; selecting one of the first and second plurality of traffic movement plans as a second optimized traffic movement plan for execution; and outputting the second optimized traffic movement plan for controlling traffic movement in the region.
The method may employ a first plurality of traffic conditions for the first optimized traffic movement plan, and may compare the current traffic conditions against the first plurality of traffic conditions for the first optimized traffic movement plan, and responsively plan with the second planning boundary based substantially upon the first plurality of traffic movement plans to repetitively generate the second plurality of traffic movement plans for the traffic of the region.
The method may employ a first plurality of traffic conditions for the first optimized traffic movement plan, and may compare the current traffic conditions against the first plurality of traffic conditions for the first optimized traffic movement plan, and responsively re-plan with the second planning boundary to repetitively generate as the second plurality of traffic movement plans for the traffic of the region: (a) a third plurality of traffic movement plans based substantially upon some of the first plurality traffic movement plans for the traffic of the region, and (b) a fourth plurality of traffic movement plans independent of the first plurality traffic movement plans for the traffic of the region.
As another aspect of the invention, a dynamic optimizing traffic planning apparatus for a region having a plurality of traffic and a plurality of traffic conditions of the traffic comprises: means for inputting information representing the traffic conditions; and means for executing a plurality of routines, the routines comprising: a plan monitor determining a first planning boundary for the traffic based upon the traffic conditions of the region, determining current traffic conditions of the region, and updating the first planning boundary to provide a second planning boundary for the traffic based upon the current traffic conditions, a plan generator successively employing the first planning boundary and the second planning boundary and repetitively generating a first plurality of traffic movement plans and a second plurality of traffic movement plans, respectively, for the traffic of the region, selecting one of the first plurality of traffic movement plans as a first optimized traffic movement plan for execution, selecting one of the first and second plurality of traffic movement plans as a second optimized traffic movement plan for execution; and successively outputting the first and second optimized traffic movement plans, and a plan executive successively converting the first and the second optimized traffic movement plans into a plurality of commands for controlling traffic movement in the region.
As another aspect of the invention, a traffic management system for a region having a plurality of traffic and a plurality of traffic conditions of the traffic comprises: means for inputting information representing the traffic conditions; means for executing a plurality of routines, the routines comprising: a plan monitor determining a first planning boundary for the traffic based upon the traffic conditions of the region, determining current traffic conditions of the region, and updating the first planning boundary to provide a second planning boundary for the traffic based upon the current traffic conditions, a plan generator successively employing the first planning boundary and the second planning boundary and repetitively generating a first plurality of traffic movement plans and a second plurality of traffic movement plans, respectively, for the traffic of the region, selecting one of the first plurality of traffic movement plans as a first optimized traffic movement plan for execution, selecting one of the first and second plurality of traffic movement plans as a second optimized traffic movement plan for execution; and successively outputting the first and second optimized traffic movement plans, and a plan executive successively converting the first and the second optimized traffic movement plans into a plurality of commands for controlling traffic movement in the region; and means for executing the commands to control traffic movement in the region.
A full understanding of the invention can be gained from the following description of the preferred embodiments when read in conjunction with the accompanying drawings in which:
The present invention will be disclosed in connection with a method and software system generating optimized movement plans for trains across a regional railroad network, although the invention is applicable to a wide range of traffic applications (e.g., without limitation, railroad; commuter rail; canals).
Referring to
The DOTP 2 generates multiple solutions (movement plans) and recommends the “best” solution based on optimization criteria (objectives) against which it optimizes. Such criteria may, for example, be related to on-time performance, best time, minimizing overall delay, minimizing a business objective function discretized at location level or some combination of these and/or other optimization criteria. The specific criteria chosen depend on the business objectives of the particular railroad, such as 12. The DOTP 2 provides substantially improved operating efficiencies, typically in the form of increased capacity utilization coupled with better on-time performance, and, because it works to avoid congestion, will increase the level of safety by avoiding unsafe train configurations.
Dynamic, optimizing planning (which includes accounting for field changes) is a planning method that generates optimized movement plans (e.g., detailed meet/pass train plans) in a changing environment.
As employed herein, the term “reservation” shall expressly include, but not be limited to, the planned usage of a track section by a particular train from an entry date/time to an exit date/time. The entry date/time coincides with the entry of the first train car (e.g., lead locomotive; head of train) onto a particular track section. The exit date/time coincides with the exit of the last train car (e.g., end of train) from the particular track section. The reservation is a basic planning artifact. A certain time-based combination of all reservations for all planned trains makes up a movement plan.
The generation of movement plans observes various limitations (e.g., track speed limits; permanent speed limits; temporary speed limits) and constraints (e.g., train type, such as passenger versus freight; power type: diesel, AC, DC; train height, length, weight, width and other consist characteristics, such as, for example, dangerous goods). Also, movement plan generation observes intrinsic characteristics of the railroad devices and wayside equipment (e.g., switches and interchanges) that may further limit the generation of the movement plan. For example, the usage of a track section prohibits the usage of another track section that may or may not be connected. As another example, a track section that includes a switch in the normal position prevents the use of another track section that includes the same switch in the reverse position for a certain period of time that depends on the use of the former track section. A combination of switches in an interchange limits the use of certain track sections because of the conditions imposed by the wayside on different switches. For example, relatively wide trains using certain track sections may prevent the use of parallel track sections. These are conditions that any traffic plan generator should obey in order to produce executable plans. Also, all operational rules and constraints should be considered (e.g., some trains are not allowed over certain tracks; headway and train separation constraints; alternative platforms may be used). All these should be reflected in the set of reservations that make up the movement plan and planning boundary, which is discussed, below.
A reservation (for trainj over tracki), a reservation set for a train service (trainj) and a movement plan (Plan) may be respectively represented by Equations 1, 2 and 3:
wherein:
As shown above, the reservation set for a train service (trainj) contains all reservations for the track sections (tracki) starting from the current position (TrainPosTrack) to the last destination (FinalDestTrack) in the schedule. Reservation intervals for two consecutive reservations of a train service overlap as shown in Equation 4:
wherein:
Reservation intervals for two different train services (in the same track section) do not overlap unless the trains are permitted to occupy the same track section concurrently (e.g., according to the railroad's operational rules and constraints).
As employed herein, the term “planning cycle” represents an amount of time after which time a dynamic optimizing traffic planner, such as the DOTP 2, will take up-to-date field information (e.g., that it has been accumulating) and apply it to the generation of new plans; or represents the amount of time the planner uses to generate plans under the same traffic and traffic conditions. For example, the duration of the (regular) normal planning cycle may be less than the duration of a re-planning cycle. A re-planning cycle may interrupt the current planning cycle. At the end of the planning cycle, an optimized movement plan may be published, provided that it is better than the previously published plan by a given amount. On request, movement plans may be published before the end of the cycle.
As employed herein, the term “planning boundary” (or “deep planning boundary”) shall expressly include, but not be limited to, a collection of former reservations under execution, committed reservations, and reservations that are expected to be committed during the next planning cycle.
As employed herein, the terms “repetitively generate” or “repetitively generating,” shall expressly include, but not be limited to, the sequential and/or parallel generation of plural traffic movement plans within a corresponding planning cycle, period or window for a corresponding planning boundary.
For example, as shown in
As employed herein, the term “planning horizon” represents the point in time beyond the planning boundary to which a dynamic optimizing traffic planner, such as the DOTP 2 of
As employed herein, the term “traffic” shall expressly include, but not be limited to, railroad traffic, which consists primarily of freight trains and passenger trains, and commuter rail traffic, which consists primarily of passenger trains, although it can include freight trains.
As employed herein, the term “traffic conditions” shall expressly include, but not be limited to, state changes in traffic infrastructure, such as, for example, track blocks, switch blocks, speed restrictions and train position gaps (i.e., the gap between planned and actual train positions in a railroad network).
As employed herein, the term “current traffic conditions” shall expressly include, but not be limited to, a currently known and/or predicted state of the traffic conditions of a region as preferably determined for a suitable planning window, such as, for example, between the current time and a suitable planning horizon.
As employed herein, the term “re-planning score” (e.g., a numerical value) shall expressly include, but not be limited to, a numerical representation of changes to traffic conditions and schedule changes (schedule changes that are not close to the current time). For example, the contribution of different event types (changes) may be evaluated considering the specifics of each event type. The relative importance of each event type may be quantified by a corresponding weighting factor.
As employed herein, the term “special events” shall expressly include, but not be limited to, operationally significant traffic conditions, which are not part of the re-planning score; train order changes when arriving in the planned area; trains not following the prescribed movement plan; changes to train schedules effective close to the current time; and changes to the train consist (e.g., adding a car with dangerous goods; significant train length changes).
As employed herein, the term “re-planning cycle” shall expressly include, but not be limited to, a planning cycle triggered when the replanning score reaches a predetermined (e.g., configured) re-planning threshold or when certain special events occur. The re-planning threshold may be set based upon desired responsiveness to changes in the environment. Hence, if the traffic conditions sufficiently change such that the assumptions employed in the plan generation process are obsolete, then the planning cycle may be interrupted and a new planning boundary may be provided.
As employed herein, the term “objective function value” shall expressly include, but not be limited to, the “goodness” of a movement plan (eg., a relative indicator of how well a movement plan optimizes) as measured by the value(s) of the objective function(s) for that plan. A movement plan's objective function value reflects the goodness of the plan against the most recent state of the field. In a more complex environment, multiple objectives may be considered. If the objective functions are combined, a single value may represent the overall objective, in which case each objective is termed as a goal. When the objectives are not combined in one explicit overall objective, the objective function value may be replaced by a vector of objective function values. In this case, the fitness of the solutions (ie., movement plans) is determined by conditions expressed against this vector.
An example of an objective function is shown in Equation 5. The objective is to minimize the weighted lateness according to a global business objective function modeled discretely using evaluation points.
wherein:
Equation 6 shows an example of an overall objective function including a plurality of individual goals.
F=F(f1,f2, . . . fn) (Eq. 6)
wherein:
Equation 7 shows a relatively simple example in which the overall objective combines the goals using a linear function, with different weightings assigned to different goals.
wherein:
The individual goals, fb may apply to different train groups. For example, one train group (i.e., a group of trains) may require on time arrival, while another train group may require best time to the final destination. However, different goals may also apply to a particular train group.
As employed herein, the terms “executing” and “execution” shall expressly include, but not be limited to, executing automatically, automatic execution, executing manually and manual execution. The automatic or manual execution is achieved with the support of a suitable traffic control system.
As employed herein, the term “commands” shall expressly include, but not be limited to, route clears and other control commands that are used to control the movements of trains. The currently executing movement plan is transformed into such control commands, which are sent to the field.
DOTP
Continuing to refer to
The plan monitor 58 of
The plan executive 60 converts the current movement plan 13 into requests 76 for route clears and other control commands, in order that those commands can be executed by the CAD system 14. When manual execution is desired, the plan executive 60 provides the MMI 22 with a proposed set of reservations 78 for the near future. The proposed movement plan 110 (
The plan generator 56, plan monitor 58 and plan executive 60 employ a database interface 80, which provides access to a rail infrastructure database 82 that contains representations of the infrastructure layout and control devices of the railroad network 10, and which may also provide direct access to the CAD system 14. The states of the devices that make up such network may also be maintained in the same database 82. In addition, the CAD system 14 provides indications that disseminate changes in device states.
The database interface 80 preferably handles different database implementations, thereby allowing the DOTP 2 to interface to different CAD systems (not shown) and/or other suitable control systems (not shown). To this end, the DOTP 2 preferably maintains internal representations of the main infrastructure and control devices, including, but not limited to, track sections, signals and switches. A separation component (not shown) may be added to the database interface 80, where needed, in order to interface and translate the information accessed in the database 82 into an internal representation. For example, the database interface 80 may access the infrastructure and control database supported by the CAD system of the assignee of the present invention, Union Switch & Signal, Inc. of Pittsburgh, Pa.
The DOTP 2 preferably outputs movement plans to one or more human-machine interfaces, such as 16,18. For example, the train graph interface 16 provides to display 20 a time-distance (or “string-line”) train graph representation, such as 21 (as shown in
Step 85-4 through and including step 85-8 may then be repeated. For example, for normal planning cycles 132 (
Alternatively, for re-planning cycles 152 (
Referring to
The plan monitor 58 evaluates traffic conditions, at 90, train positions versus the movement plan 4, at 92, and train schedule changes, at 94, and requests re-planning (as shown at 72 of
The plan generator 56 receives data employed for planning in the form of the planning boundary 74, which is based on the current schedule, and the state of the field 12 at the beginning of the planning cycle. For the rest of the planning cycle, a plurality of movement plans 104 are produced based on this information. Here, true “real time” response is not possible due to the relatively intensive computations employed to produce a planning solution. Although the planning boundary 74 and the CAD interface (buffer) 100 are shown with the plan monitor 58, one or both may be part of the plan generator 56.
A planning cycle should support calculation of a meaningful number of planning solutions, such as movement plans 104. For example, for up to 100 trains and for various planning horizons (e.g., from about one to about 24 hours; the planning horizon is defined based on the complexity of the infrastructure of the corresponding region such as railroad 12 of
In summary, the DOTP 2 considers changes to the field 12 when producing or updating the movement plans 104. Moreover, the DOTP 2 communicates with the CAD system 14 or other suitable control system (not shown) both to receive updated field information, such as traffic conditions 106 and 98, train positions 108 and states of infrastructure devices 98, and to send control commands 86, and/or a proposed near term movement plan 110, which are generated from the currently executing movement plan 13 (
Continuing to refer to
For convenience of illustration,
Next, at 132, the plan generator 56 undertakes a normal planning cycle. As will be discussed in greater detail below in connection with
At the end of either of the normal planning cycle 132 or re-planning cycle 152, the “best” plan 133 is published, at 120, if it is better (e.g., by employing the f value of Equation 5, above) than the currently executing movement plan 13 (
In response to the newly published plan 4′, the plan executive 60 (
Concurrently, the plan monitor 58 updates, at 116, traffic and traffic conditions from the CAD system 14 and updates, at 118, the planning boundary 74. Next, at 150, the plan monitor 58 determines whether re-planning is needed. For example, as was discussed above in connection with
Plan Generator
Referring to FIGS. 3,4 and 5A-5B, the DOTP 2 receives and processes updates from the field 12 or office (not shown), including, for example, train positions 108, traffic conditions 106, such as track blocks and speed restrictions, train schedules 64 (
The plan generator 56 generates plural movement plans 104 (
The plan generator 56 constructs plural detailed movement plans 104 (
At the beginning of the normal planning cycle, the planning boundary 74 (
As shown in
The plan generator 56 employs the following procedures to solve the generation and delivery of plans in a dynamic environment: (1) re-planning 156,158 (
Referring to
Producing an initial solution, or modifying or destroying a solution, may be implemented by the action of a suitable “agent” (e.g., such as agents 185). In addition, re-generation, at 156, may be employed to adapt (as is discussed, below) an existing solution, in order to consider some new events. Each time a solution is produced, modified, or re-generated, it is evaluated using the objective function, which is employed to order the pool 172 of solutions (including, e.g., movement plans 166,168,170). Hence, the solution is preferably inserted at its properly ordered place in the pool 172 immediately after evaluation.
The ordering or ranking is done, in order that relatively lower objective function values may be deemed to be better than relatively higher objective function values, such that the solution having the lowest objective function value (e.g., the “best” plan 133 of
The planning cycle starts at 160 and is followed by updating of train schedules 64 (
At 156, a plurality (e.g., a count of N1) of movement plans 157 from the existing pool of solutions (e.g., solution pool 172′) are re-generated. For example, the top N1 best solutions may be employed. Alternatively, in addition to those solutions, one or more solutions may be chosen at random. For example, the count, N1, may be determined as a function (e.g., f(re-planning score) in Equation 8, below) of the re-planning score (e.g., from Equations 18 or 20, below) times the count of solutions (e.g., Pool Size) in the solution pool 172′.
The main reason for activities that are specific to the re-planning cycle is to deal with changes in the field 12 (
When the individual objective function values (OMFs) (e.g., OFVI, OFV2, OFV3) are determined, which is preferably immediately after generation or re-generation of any one solution, the solutions are preferably individually suitably dispersed, in the existing pool, such as 172,172′.
Next, at 158, a plurality (e.g., a count of N2) of new movement plans (e.g., 174) are generated from scratch as part of the same pool of solutions (e.g., updated solution pool 172″). For example, the count, N2, may be determined as a function (e.g., g(re-planning score) in Equation 9, below) of the re-planning score (e.g., from Equations 18 or 20, below) times the count of solutions (e.g., Pool Size) in the solution pool 172′.
The example re-planning strategy (
Equations 8 and 9 respectively show the determination of two 5 associated functions to determine the count N1 (=f(replanning score)*Pool Size) of solutions to be re-generated and the count N2 (=g(replanning score)*Pool Size) of solutions to be newly generated based upon the re-planning score.
wherein:
k1+k2=1;
Preferably, the calibration of the specific weights in Equations 18 and 20, below, ensures that:
f(replanning score)+g(replanning score)<0.5 (Eq. 10)
when no schedule changes are present.
For example, the functions f(re-planning score) and g(re-planning score) may be determined from a suitable discrete mapping 198 of x=re-planning score (RS), f(x) and g(x), as shown in
Alternatively, any suitable discrete, continuous, linear or non-linear equation, function or mapping may be employed to relate the counts N1 and N2 to the re-planning score and the size of the current solution pool (e.g., 172′).
The plan generator 56 may employ any suitable generator of movement plans, which is able to produce such plans in a timely manner, such as, for example, collaborative computation using multiple algorithms, branch and bound techniques, and/or any recursive or iterative method searching the solution space. Even when the method of generation does not rely on a solution pool when optimizing off-line (i.e., non-dynamically), a solution pool may be populated by using movement plans constructed at different points in time.
Of course, when the re-planning score (e.g., from Equations 18 or 20, below) is below a suitable threshold, and in the absence of special events, re-planning is not initiated, as was discussed above in connection with step 150 of
After 158 or if re-planning was not requested, at 180, various perturbation specific agents (algorithms) 185 are activated. Later, such agents 185 may be employed to address conditions, such as, for example, blocks, at 186. Although some perturbations may rise to the level of special events, which trigger re-planning, other perturbations may not rise to that level, such that activation of specific agents may be performed even for a normal planning cycle. These agents attempt to modify an existing solution to account for a given event type. The outline of the solution may change as a result (e.g., which is different from re-generation that attempts to account for events within the original outline).
Next, at 182, the objective function values 183 of the current pool of solutions (e.g., pool 172 prior to the next planning cycle; pool 172″ following steps 156,158) are adjusted (e.g., by employing Equation 11, below), in order to downgrade relatively older solutions as shown with objective function values 183′. The solutions produced in steps 156,158 are current and should not be downgraded. Then, at 184, the current pool of solutions (e.g., pool 172; 172′) is reordered based upon the newly established objective function values 183′. Steps 182 and 184 are preferably applied solution by solution rather than by adjusting all solutions and then re-ordering all solutions. The plans in the pool 172 are evaluated to determine the best plan 133 (
In this dynamic planning environment, the pool 172 of movement plans (i.e., solutions) is a multi-generation pool. These solutions (e.g., plans 166,168,170) in the pool 172 are updated for the new planning boundary 74′ (
The objective function value of older solutions may be altered according to Equations 11 and 12, below. This shows that solutions that were not recently involved in the generation of the movement plans 104 (
Regeneration may be done for best plans after downgrading. In this example, steps 182 and 184 of
Next, at 186 of
As has been disclosed, existing solutions are employed to come up with new solutions. Suitable agent and solution selection may facilitate the adjusting and adapting of multiple solutions and increase the chance of finding out a new optimized plan. In some plan generation cases, there is only one “agent” (A2) that does nothing else but adjusting and adapting, and only one agent (A5) that produces new plans without considering existing ones. Suitable approaches may employ all of the agents A1-A5 of the list of agents 185.
Then, at 188, it is determined if the selected solution(s) from 176 is (are) null. This occurs if an existing solution is not needed by the selected agent from 186. If not null, then the selected solutions may be adjusted, at 190, to the new schedule, from step 162, and to the new planning boundary, from step 164. The movement plans (solutions) chosen may need to account for new or changed elements of the schedule before being used by the agents 185. Partial plans are developed for the new schedule elements. Parts of the movement plans corresponding to schedule elements that were removed are also removed from the movement plan.
The changes in the planning boundary 74 (
As shown in
If the solution from 176 was null, or after 190, the selected agent from 186 is applied, (i.e., executed) at 192, using the selected solutions from 176, as needed.
Then, at 193 and 194, it is respectively determined if the cycle should be interrupted (by a re-planning request) at 193, and/or if it is the end of the planning cycle at 194. If the cycle is interrupted, at 193, then the plan generator 56 will continue at 160 (i.e., a new planning cycle under new conditions). The determination of a re-planning request, at 193, is the same as was discussed above at 178 of
At steps 156,158,192, the corresponding objective function value is preferably determined for a corresponding movement plan before a produced (newly generated), adjusted, modified or re-generated solution is added or updated in the solution pool 172.
Preferably, at the end of the cycle, the count (e.g., 50; a suitable number) of plans in the solution pool 172 is the same as the count from the previous cycle. For example, besides destroying plans using the destroyer agents, such as Al, the pool 172 is preferably maintained below a maximum count of solutions. For example, one or more solutions having the highest objective function values are destroyed.
Steps 182 and 184 employ an age associated with each of the movement plans in the pool 172, downgrade the corresponding objective function values of the corresponding movement plans in the pool 172 as a function of the age, and re-order the corresponding movement plans responsive to the downgrading.
The objective function value of older solutions, such as 166,168,170, may be altered according to Equations 11 and 12.
wherein:
Equation 11 allows a solution to maintain its value for a few cycles (n0), by employing the θ function in the manner disclosed. The function D(n) of Equation 12 implements progressive aging after no cycles. The condition,
provides for discarding of the solution after a full planning window has passed. The factor, |f(N)|/f(N), is employed to allow both positive and negative objective function values to be degraded by D(n).
In the exemplary embodiment, the older solutions are not considered for publishing even when the objective function value indicates that an older solution is the “best”. Only solutions developed in the current planning cycle using any of the disclosed methods are considered to replace the currently executed plan. In a normal planning cycle, when the best solution is an older solution, it may be regenerated and if it is still the best, then it may be considered to replace the plan under execution.
Plan Monitor
The plan monitor 58 provides, at 130 and 118 of
Referring to
The PlanBoundaries module 208 manages the boundary for each train service. The boundary extends further than the projected lined route, in order to allow for near future movements to take place without significant changes to the boundary (e.g., no changes to train paths). The actual speed of the trains is evaluated to facilitate the determination of the reservation times in the planning boundary. The speed may be evaluated, for example, based on the indications from the field (e.g., actual moves from track section to track section). The precision depends on the input regarding the position of trains. With advanced technologies, such as ones employing GPS, the information on position and speed of the trains becomes very accurate, and the reservation times may be calculated more accurately. Even with less accurate information, the system works well because the most important aspect of the planning boundary is the path of the trains in the near future.
The TrainGap module 206 and PublishedPlan module 210 are shown in
The TrainGap module 206 includes a TrainGapAnalyzer component 216, which summarizes the information provided by a TrainGapServiceAnalyzer component 218, which determines the gap between plarmed and actual train positions for each train.
The PublishedPlan module 210 includes a PlanReservationStore component 220, which maintains the complete set of reservations of the published movement plan 4 for the benefit of the plan monitor 58 by aggregating information provided and maintained by a ServicePlanReservationStore component 222, which, in turn, relies on a TrainReservation component 224 to maintain the reservation itself.
In regular operations, the path defined in the planning boundary 74 (
Considering the path fixed, the relevant gap information includes times of entering and exiting of a certain railroad segment, such as 26,28,40 of
Delays may impact the various reservations in the planning boundary 74. For example, the reservation (e.g., 32 of
The impact on the subsequent reservations for delayed trains shown in Equations 13-17, below, is the most optimistic. For a realistic impact, interaction of the trains on the planning boundary 74 is considered and projected occupancies in the planning boundary are determined based on interactions with other reservations.
tLocalEntryb=tLocalEntryplanned+τ (Eq. 13)
tEndTrainExitb=tEndTrainExitplanned+τ (Eq. 14)
wherein:
tLocoExitposition−tLocoExitPlanned (Eq. 15)
tLocoExit=(tLocoEntryposition−tLocoEntryPlannedposition)+τextension (Eq. 16)
τextension=(tEndTrainExitposotion−tLocoEntryposition)−(tEndTrainPlannedposition −tLocoEntryPlannedpostion) (Eq.17)
tLocoEntryb and tEndTrainExit are entry/exit times for boundary reservations (all but the first);
LocoEntry/Exit is considered to be the entry/exit of the head of the train. Equations 13-17 imply that a train may be late to the current track section as well as it may gain additional delay (i.e., extension) on the current reservation. These observations are used in determining the new planning boundary 74′. The planning boundary is more accurately determined if each train's actual speed is determined in addition to late arrival and additional delay on the current track section. This information is used to recalculate the reservation intervals for the planning boundary.
The impact of trains arriving early may be determined in a similar way. Dependency on other trains may limit the impact on the internal boundary in this case (that has the largest effect on future plans). The re-evaluation of the reservations within the deep planning boundary preserves the order in the currently executing movement plan 13 (
The GapAnalysis module 200 (
wherein:
The three specific weights are preferably calibrated based on expected effect on the plan and plan generation. A block that generates the same change in a plan with the position gaps of multiple trains provides a way to choose the actual value of the two corresponding specific weights. The tests may be repeated multiple times with different blocks and number of trains delayed (position gap). Still different contributions to the re-planning may be chosen depending on the difficulty to re-generate plans when applying the perturbation. The correlation between the speed restriction is captured directly in Equation 18 as discussed below. However, different weights may be chosen, based on re-generation and re-planning difficulty, in general.
Equation 18 is devised in order that when the speed restriction vireduced is close to zero, the speed restriction term (i.e., second line of Equation 18) provides the same results as the block term (i.e., first line of Equation 18) (assuming that the effective perturbation applies in exactly the same conditions in both cases) if there are not different weights. Both the addition and removal of perturbations are consistent using Equations 18 and 19.
In Equation 18, the term (T−Ti)/T represents dampening of the perturbation effect on the current published movement plan due to its distance in time from the boundary. Similarly, the term nitrains/nhorizontrains represents dampening of the relative perturbation effect due to the number of trains that are planned to use the perturbed area compared to the total number of trains planned for. The re-planning score of Equation 18 may be adjusted to also account for changes in train schedules as shown in Equation 20.
wherein:
The re-planning score contribution depends on the relative number of changed trains, nchangetrains/nhorizontrains, and the relative number of new trains, nnewtrains/(nhorizontrains+nnewtrains), that represent complexity factors. For a complete contribution to the re-planning score, both of these two terms are multiplied by the relative total duration of the changed or new train schedules.
When a threshold corresponding to the re-planning score 214 (
Also, the plan monitor 58 may trigger re-planning when, for example, special events that are not currently covered in the example re-planning score 214, Equation 18, happen, such as, for example, train ordering change (e.g., trains coming to the planning area; train formed at stations in the planning area) and manual actions resulting in moving trains off the planned path. The above actions alter the planning boundary 74.
Also, certain train schedule changes may trigger re-planning immediately, especially when the boundary is invalidated (e.g., changes to the schedule within the planning boundary 74 or when a large number of train schedules are modified or added to the current schedule with the intention to significantly alter the current schedule). Otherwise, changes to the schedules contribute to the re-planning score as shown in Equation 20, above. Schedule changes that do not alter the planning boundary or are not in the proximity of the boundary need not trigger re-planning by themselves, but they could contribute to the re-planning decision by increasing the re-planning score. Alternatively, the re-planning score may be increased after the re-planning decision was made (by the plan generator 56) for the purpose of guiding the planning cycle decisions.
When the continuation of the execution of the current movement plan 4 is not desirable because of changes to the planning boundary 74, the plan monitor 58 may request that the plan executive 60 stall execution for selected train services (not shown). For example, a train heading towards a recently imposed track block may be stopped at a station or junction, if the traffic conditions and constraints prohibit it from reaching the next destination, in order to await a decision of the operator (such as, for example, a schedule change). Operational rules permitting, the DOTP 2 may automatically skip certain stations (as performed by the plan generator 56) when a perturbation denies access to a destination.
Plan Executive
The plan executive 60 (
The plan executive 60 implements the movement plan 4 received from the plan generator 56 with more emphasis on sequence of operations than on absolute timing. For example, the plan executive 60 will not regulate the movement of trains to prevent earliness. An early train will be allowed to proceed and retain its earliness, as long as the schedule constraints (e.g., trains associations; departure time constraints) are not violated. Second, operations involving relative times are respected. Thus, if a train needs to mark a dwell at a particular location, the plan executive 60 pauses for the duration of that dwell before lining further signals. Third, the order of train movements is not modified. Thus, an early train might have to wait for another train if the movement plan 4 (
The plan executive 60 employs four steps in the execution of movement plan 4. First, information 88, including traffic conditions and the state of the field devices, is input from the CAD system 14 (
The string-line train graph 21 of
In a similar manner, somewhat similar results can be obtained for temporary speed restrictions (not shown).
The potential benefits of optimized traffic planning for the railroads are significant. The disclosed method and system enable a railroad to improve its on-time train performance, improve asset utilization, increase capacity utilization, increase car revenue, increase average train velocity, and increase throughput by dynamically optimizing the movements of trains across a railroad network.
While for clarity of disclosure reference has been made herein to the displays 20,22, for displaying information, such as train graphs and track diagrams, it will be appreciated that such information may be stored, printed on hard copy, be computer modified, or be combined with other data. All such processing shall be deemed to fall within the terms “display” or “displaying” as employed herein.
While specific embodiments of the invention have been described in detail, it will be appreciated by those skilled in the art that various modifications and alternatives to those details could be developed in light of the overall teachings of the disclosure. Accordingly, the particular arrangements disclosed are meant to be illustrative only and not limiting as to the scope of the invention which is to be given the full breadth of the appended claims and any and all equivalents thereof.
Morariu, Viorel, Boyle, C. Franklin, Deutermann, Uwe, Barry, Gregory P., Korytko, Andrey A.
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